AI Thought Leadership
Topics, traced to first principles
The full index of reviewed topic pages. Each one is dated, evidence-labelled, and ends in a claim you can test.
11 topics, traced to first principles
Each topic page carries the dated current state, the mathematics written plainly with a worked example, a historical lineage with primary citations, a replication lab you can run, a test-this-claim protocol with a stopping rule, the teams to monitor, and bounded forecasts with disconfirming signals.
01
AI paradigms and knowledge representation
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: rules, learning, and a hybrid verifier · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through August 16, 2026
02
Machine-learning foundations
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: inductive bias under shift · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 10, 2026
03
Language models and representation
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: n-gram versus neural next-token prediction · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through August 28, 2026
04
Agent planning and cognitive architectures
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: a transparent tool-using agent · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 18, 2026
05
Reliability, uncertainty, and evaluation
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: calibration and abstention · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 18, 2026
06
Multi-agent coordination
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: when does a second agent help? · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through August 28, 2026
07
Embodied AI and world models
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: learned dynamics and model-predictive control · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 2, 2026
08
AI for science
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: a miniature closed-loop scientist · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 18, 2026
09
Human–AI interaction and adoption
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: ask, act, or escalate · Test this claim · Current teams and sources to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 18, 2026
10
Safety, security, and alignment
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: prompt injection and reference monitoring · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 18, 2026
11
Infrastructure, efficiency, and open ecosystems
Current state · First principles and mathematics · Foundational lineage, 1960–2010 · Modern lineage, 2011–2025 · Reproduction lab: quality-adjusted inference benchmarking · Test this claim · Current teams to monitor · Bounded forecasts
Current through September 18, 2026